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Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 13

Radomiak Radom

RAD

Śląsk Wrocław

LSK

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Radomiak Radom53%
Draw23%
Śląsk Wrocław24%

Expected goals

2.01 – 1.33

Over 2.5

64%

Both to score

64%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.7%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 1–07.7%
  • 2–07.1%
  • 2–26.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

49%Possession37%
42%Territory39%
41%From set plays9%
0.12Chance quality0.15
4.2%Directness8.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Radomiak Radom, 2 for Śląsk Wrocław. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Śląsk Wrocław

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 112 matches, not the full season.