Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 13

Lech Poznań

LEC

Wisła Kraków

WIS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Lech Poznań61%
Draw22%
Wisła Kraków17%

Expected goals

1.99 – 0.98

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–010.8%
  • 2–010.1%
  • 2–110.0%
  • 1–110.0%
  • 3–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

53%Possession48%
42%Territory38%
18%From set plays26%
0.11Chance quality0.10
4.4%Directness4.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Lech Poznań, 3 for Wisła Kraków. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.