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Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 13

GKS Katowice

GKS

Widzew Łódź

WID

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

GKS Katowice45%
Draw26%
Widzew Łódź29%

Expected goals

1.61 – 1.27

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.7%
  • 109.5%
  • 219.2%
  • 017.3%
  • 127.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Widzew Łódź get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

47%Possession50%
45%Territory38%
16%From set plays33%
0.10Chance quality0.10
3.5%Directness6.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for GKS Katowice, 3 for Widzew Łódź. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.