Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 13
Cracovia
CRA
Motor Lublin
MOT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cracovia49%
Draw25%
Motor Lublin26%
Expected goals
1.71 – 1.23
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–07.5%
- 0–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Cracovia get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
50%Possession46%
43%Territory41%
41%From set plays18%
0.13Chance quality0.13
4.9%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cracovia, 3 for Motor Lublin. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.