Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 12
Wisła Kraków
WIS
Raków Częstochowa
RAK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wisła Kraków53%
Draw23%
Raków Częstochowa24%
Expected goals
1.95 – 1.29
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.0%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–08.2%
- 2–07.4%
- 2–26.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession55%
38%Territory43%
26%From set plays26%
0.10Chance quality0.08
4.0%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wisła Kraków, 5 for Raków Częstochowa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.