Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 12
Piast Gliwice
PIA
Cracovia
CRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Piast Gliwice42%
Draw27%
Cracovia31%
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.26
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.2%
- 0–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
56%Possession50%
38%Territory43%
27%From set plays41%
0.12Chance quality0.13
3.0%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Piast Gliwice, 3 for Cracovia. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.