Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 12
Motor Lublin
MOT
Zagłębie Lubin
ZAG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Motor Lublin33%
Draw26%
Zagłębie Lubin41%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.60
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–28.8%
- 0–18.4%
- 2–17.7%
- 1–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Zagłębie Lubin get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
46%Possession41%
41%Territory34%
18%From set plays50%
0.13Chance quality0.13
6.5%Directness8.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Motor Lublin, 4 for Zagłębie Lubin. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.