Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 12
Korona Kielce
KOR
GKS Katowice
GKS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Korona Kielce42%
Draw26%
GKS Katowice32%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.36
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–08.9%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–17.6%
- 1–27.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Korona Kielce get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
47%Possession47%
42%Territory45%
32%From set plays16%
0.11Chance quality0.10
5.2%Directness3.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Korona Kielce, 3 for GKS Katowice. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.