Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 11
Zagłębie Lubin
ZAG
Jagiellonia Białystok
JAG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Zagłębie Lubin45%
Draw26%
Jagiellonia Białystok29%
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.31
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–09.1%
- 1–27.1%
- 0–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Jagiellonia Białystok will have the ball; Zagłębie Lubin will not mind.
41%Possession53%
34%Territory36%
50%From set plays12%
0.13Chance quality0.12
8.6%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Zagłębie Lubin, 4 for Jagiellonia Białystok.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.