Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 11
Wisła Płock
WIA
Radomiak Radom
RAD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wisła Płock49%
Draw25%
Radomiak Radom26%
Expected goals
1.79 – 1.28
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–08.9%
- 2–07.2%
- 1–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession47%
40%Territory38%
46%From set plays36%
0.13Chance quality0.11
3.4%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wisła Płock, 3 for Radomiak Radom. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Wisła Płock
Radomiak Radom
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.