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Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 11

Wieczysta Kraków

WIE

Raków Częstochowa

RAK

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Wieczysta Kraków43%
Draw24%
Raków Częstochowa33%

Expected goals

1.77 – 1.55

Over 2.5

63%

Both to score

66%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.3%
  • 218.7%
  • 127.5%
  • 106.9%
  • 226.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Wieczysta Kraków will have the ball; Raków Częstochowa will not mind.

64%Possession55%
48%Territory43%
17%From set plays26%
0.08Chance quality0.08
5.0%Directness4.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wieczysta Kraków, 5 for Raków Częstochowa. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.