Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 11
Widzew Łódź
WID
Wisła Kraków
WIS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Widzew Łódź42%
Draw27%
Wisła Kraków31%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.23
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–010.4%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.5%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession48%
38%Territory38%
33%From set plays26%
0.10Chance quality0.10
6.5%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Widzew Łódź, 3 for Wisła Kraków. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Widzew Łódź
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.