Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 11
Motor Lublin
MOT
Śląsk Wrocław
LSK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Motor Lublin47%
Draw23%
Śląsk Wrocław30%
Expected goals
1.97 – 1.55
Over 2.5
67%
Both to score
68%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.3%
- 2–18.9%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–26.8%
- 1–06.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession49%
41%Territory43%
18%From set plays16%
0.13Chance quality0.15
6.5%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Motor Lublin, 3 for Śląsk Wrocław. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Śląsk Wrocław
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.