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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 11

Górnik Zabrze

GRN

Piast Gliwice

PIA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Górnik Zabrze58%
Draw23%
Piast Gliwice19%

Expected goals

1.93 – 1.05

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–010.4%
  • 1–110.3%
  • 2–110.0%
  • 2–09.4%
  • 3–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Piast Gliwice will have the ball; Górnik Zabrze will not mind.

46%Possession56%
44%Territory38%
33%From set plays27%
0.14Chance quality0.12
5.4%Directness3.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Górnik Zabrze, 3 for Piast Gliwice. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.