Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 11
GKS Katowice
GKS
Pogoń Szczecin
POG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
GKS Katowice42%
Draw25%
Pogoń Szczecin33%
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.45
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–07.9%
- 1–27.6%
- 0–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Pogoń Szczecin get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
47%Possession45%
45%Territory40%
16%From set plays48%
0.10Chance quality0.10
3.5%Directness6.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for GKS Katowice, 3 for Pogoń Szczecin. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.