Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 11
Cracovia
CRA
Legia Warszawa
LEG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cracovia34%
Draw28%
Legia Warszawa38%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.39
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 0–19.9%
- 1–09.1%
- 1–28.5%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession54%
43%Territory46%
41%From set plays28%
0.13Chance quality0.16
4.9%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cracovia, 3 for Legia Warszawa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.