Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 10
Śląsk Wrocław
LSK
Lech Poznań
LEC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Śląsk Wrocław20%
Draw22%
Lech Poznań58%
Expected goals
1.18 – 2.07
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.8%
- 1–19.6%
- 0–18.6%
- 0–28.3%
- 1–36.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession53%
43%Territory42%
16%From set plays18%
0.15Chance quality0.11
4.6%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Śląsk Wrocław, 4 for Lech Poznań. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Śląsk Wrocław
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.