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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 10

Radomiak Radom

RAD

Motor Lublin

MOT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Radomiak Radom46%
Draw23%
Motor Lublin31%

Expected goals

1.96 – 1.61

Over 2.5

68%

Both to score

69%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.2%
  • 2–18.7%
  • 2–27.1%
  • 1–27.0%
  • 1–06.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Radomiak Radom get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

47%Possession46%
38%Territory41%
36%From set plays18%
0.11Chance quality0.13
5.9%Directness6.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Radomiak Radom, 3 for Motor Lublin. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.