Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 10
Pogoń Szczecin
POG
Korona Kielce
KOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Pogoń Szczecin45%
Draw26%
Korona Kielce29%
Expected goals
1.61 – 1.26
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–17.3%
- 2–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Pogoń Szczecin get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
45%Possession47%
40%Territory42%
48%From set plays32%
0.10Chance quality0.11
6.6%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Pogoń Szczecin, 4 for Korona Kielce. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.