Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 10
Piast Gliwice
PIA
Widzew Łódź
WID
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Piast Gliwice43%
Draw26%
Widzew Łódź31%
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.31
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–09.3%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–17.5%
- 1–27.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
56%Possession50%
38%Territory38%
27%From set plays33%
0.12Chance quality0.10
3.0%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Piast Gliwice, 3 for Widzew Łódź. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.