Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 10
Cracovia
CRA
Zagłębie Lubin
ZAG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cracovia36%
Draw29%
Zagłębie Lubin34%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.21
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–011.0%
- 0–110.5%
- 0–09.9%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Cracovia will have the ball; Zagłębie Lubin will not mind.
50%Possession41%
43%Territory34%
41%From set plays50%
0.13Chance quality0.13
4.9%Directness8.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cracovia, 4 for Zagłębie Lubin. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.