Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 9
Zagłębie Lubin
ZAG
Wisła Płock
WIA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Zagłębie Lubin45%
Draw28%
Wisła Płock27%
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.10
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–011.6%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–08.6%
- 0–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Wisła Płock will have the ball; Zagłębie Lubin will not mind.
41%Possession50%
34%Territory40%
50%From set plays46%
0.13Chance quality0.13
8.6%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Zagłębie Lubin, 3 for Wisła Płock. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.