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Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 9

Wisła Kraków

WIS

Śląsk Wrocław

LSK

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Wisła Kraków51%
Draw24%
Śląsk Wrocław25%

Expected goals

1.87 – 1.28

Over 2.5

60%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.4%
  • 219.6%
  • 108.6%
  • 207.4%
  • 126.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

48%Possession49%
38%Territory43%
26%From set plays16%
0.10Chance quality0.15
4.0%Directness4.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wisła Kraków, 3 for Śląsk Wrocław. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Śląsk Wrocław

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.