Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 9
Piast Gliwice
PIA
Pogoń Szczecin
POG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Piast Gliwice40%
Draw25%
Pogoń Szczecin34%
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.49
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–27.8%
- 1–07.7%
- 0–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Piast Gliwice will have the ball; Pogoń Szczecin will not mind.
56%Possession45%
38%Territory40%
27%From set plays48%
0.12Chance quality0.10
3.0%Directness6.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Piast Gliwice, 3 for Pogoń Szczecin. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.