Ekstraklasa · Matchweek 9
GKS Katowice
GKS
Cracovia
CRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
GKS Katowice44%
Draw27%
Cracovia29%
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.23
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–010.2%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–18.0%
- 0–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Cracovia get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
47%Possession50%
45%Territory43%
16%From set plays41%
0.10Chance quality0.13
3.5%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for GKS Katowice, 3 for Cracovia. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 69 matches, not the full season.