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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 26

Sochaux

SOC

Nancy

NAC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sochaux26%
Draw27%
Nancy46%

Expected goals

1.09 – 1.50

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.4%
  • 0–111.7%
  • 1–29.2%
  • 0–08.6%
  • 1–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

50%Possession53%
29%Territory37%
15%From set plays15%
0.07Chance quality0.10
7.4%Directness6.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Sochaux, 2 for Nancy. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Nancy

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.