Ligue 2 · Matchweek 26
Sochaux
SOC
Nancy
NAC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sochaux26%
Draw27%
Nancy46%
Expected goals
1.09 – 1.50
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 0–111.7%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–08.6%
- 1–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession53%
29%Territory37%
15%From set plays15%
0.07Chance quality0.10
7.4%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Sochaux, 2 for Nancy. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Nancy
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.