Ligue 2 · Matchweek 26
Guingamp
GUI
Laval
LAV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Guingamp50%
Draw26%
Laval25%
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.14
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–010.5%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–08.1%
- 0–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Laval will have the ball; Guingamp will not mind.
45%Possession59%
41%Territory39%
4%From set plays46%
0.12Chance quality0.14
7.1%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Guingamp, 3 for Laval. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.