Ligue 2 · Matchweek 26
Grenoble
GRE
Nantes
NAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Grenoble37%
Draw28%
Nantes35%
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.27
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–010.2%
- 0–19.8%
- 0–08.8%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
44%Possession47%
30%Territory34%
44%From set plays31%
0.10Chance quality0.11
6.8%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Grenoble, 3 for Nantes. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 97 matches, not the full season.