Ligue 2 · Matchweek 26
Dunkerque
DUN
Rodez
ROD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dunkerque45%
Draw23%
Rodez32%
Expected goals
1.92 – 1.62
Over 2.5
67%
Both to score
69%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.3%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–27.1%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–06.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Dunkerque will have the ball; Rodez will not mind.
56%Possession31%
31%Territory33%
30%From set plays12%
0.12Chance quality0.12
7.7%Directness10.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dunkerque, 3 for Rodez. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.