Ligue 2 · Matchweek 25
Rodez
ROD
Sochaux
SOC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rodez60%
Draw21%
Sochaux19%
Expected goals
2.17 – 1.21
Over 2.5
64%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.1%
- 2–08.1%
- 1–08.0%
- 3–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
31%Possession50%
33%Territory29%
12%From set plays15%
0.12Chance quality0.07
10.5%Directness7.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rodez, 2 for Sochaux. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.