Ligue 2 · Matchweek 25
Red Star
RED
Dijon
DIJ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Red Star46%
Draw26%
Dijon28%
Expected goals
1.61 – 1.23
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–17.4%
- 2–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
53%Possession57%
37%Territory42%
17%From set plays28%
0.06Chance quality0.15
5.2%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Red Star, 4 for Dijon. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Red Star
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.