Ligue 2 · Matchweek 25
Nantes
NAN
Saint-Étienne
SAI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nantes21%
Draw27%
Saint-Étienne52%
Expected goals
0.94 – 1.57
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.3%
- 1–112.0%
- 0–29.7%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–09.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Saint-Étienne will have the ball; Nantes will not mind.
47%Possession57%
34%Territory44%
31%From set plays30%
0.11Chance quality0.08
6.1%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nantes, 3 for Saint-Étienne. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.