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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 25

Laval

LAV

Reims

REI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Laval38%
Draw27%
Reims35%

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.38

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.1%
  • 1–09.0%
  • 0–18.6%
  • 2–18.4%
  • 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

59%Possession51%
39%Territory27%
46%From set plays21%
0.14Chance quality0.10
5.4%Directness7.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Laval, 2 for Reims. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.