Ligue 2 · Matchweek 25
Guingamp
GUI
Grenoble
GRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Guingamp62%
Draw22%
Grenoble16%
Expected goals
2.02 – 0.96
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.9%
- 2–010.3%
- 2–110.0%
- 1–19.8%
- 3–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Grenoble get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
45%Possession44%
41%Territory30%
4%From set plays44%
0.12Chance quality0.10
7.1%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Guingamp, 3 for Grenoble. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.