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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 25

Annecy FC

ANN

Boulogne

BOU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Annecy FC44%
Draw29%
Boulogne27%

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.03

Over 2.5

42%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.0%
  • 1–012.9%
  • 0–010.6%
  • 0–19.5%
  • 2–18.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Boulogne get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

39%Possession41%
30%Territory37%
8%From set plays31%
0.13Chance quality0.10
5.1%Directness7.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Annecy FC, 3 for Boulogne. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Annecy FC

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.