Ligue 2 · Matchweek 24
Saint-Étienne
SAI
Guingamp
GUI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Saint-Étienne51%
Draw26%
Guingamp23%
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.05
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–011.7%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–08.8%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Saint-Étienne will have the ball; Guingamp will not mind.
57%Possession45%
44%Territory41%
30%From set plays4%
0.08Chance quality0.12
3.4%Directness7.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Saint-Étienne, 3 for Guingamp. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.