Ligue 2 · Matchweek 24
Sochaux
SOC
Metz
MET
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sochaux36%
Draw26%
Metz38%
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.58
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–18.1%
- 0–17.5%
- 1–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession58%
29%Territory39%
15%From set plays20%
0.07Chance quality0.11
7.4%Directness8.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Sochaux, 4 for Metz. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.