Ligue 2 · Matchweek 24
Reims
REI
Rodez
ROD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Reims48%
Draw24%
Rodez28%
Expected goals
1.90 – 1.43
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.0%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–07.4%
- 1–26.7%
- 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
51%Possession31%
27%Territory33%
21%From set plays12%
0.10Chance quality0.12
7.2%Directness10.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Reims, 3 for Rodez. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.