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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 24

Reims

REI

Rodez

ROD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Reims48%
Draw24%
Rodez28%

Expected goals

1.90 – 1.43

Over 2.5

63%

Both to score

65%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.0%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 1–07.4%
  • 1–26.7%
  • 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

51%Possession31%
27%Territory33%
21%From set plays12%
0.10Chance quality0.12
7.2%Directness10.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Reims, 3 for Rodez. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.