Ligue 2 · Matchweek 24
Nancy
NAC
Nantes
NAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nancy51%
Draw27%
Nantes22%
Expected goals
1.53 – 0.92
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.6%
- 1–112.2%
- 2–09.7%
- 0–09.6%
- 2–19.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
53%Possession47%
37%Territory34%
15%From set plays31%
0.10Chance quality0.11
6.3%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Nancy, 3 for Nantes. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Nancy
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.