Ligue 2 · Matchweek 24
Grenoble
GRE
Red Star
RED
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Grenoble26%
Draw29%
Red Star45%
Expected goals
0.99 – 1.36
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.3%
- 1–112.9%
- 0–010.7%
- 1–09.4%
- 1–28.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
44%Possession53%
30%Territory37%
44%From set plays17%
0.10Chance quality0.06
6.8%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Grenoble, 2 for Red Star. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Red Star
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.