Ligue 2 · Matchweek 24
Boulogne
BOU
Laval
LAV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Boulogne42%
Draw31%
Laval27%
Expected goals
1.26 – 0.96
Over 2.5
38%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.9%
- 1–113.2%
- 0–012.2%
- 0–110.3%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Laval will have the ball; Boulogne will not mind.
41%Possession59%
37%Territory39%
31%From set plays46%
0.10Chance quality0.14
7.6%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Boulogne, 3 for Laval. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.