Ligue 2 · Matchweek 23
Saint-Étienne
SAI
Sochaux
SOC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Saint-Étienne70%
Draw19%
Sochaux11%
Expected goals
2.19 – 0.78
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.4%
- 1–011.8%
- 2–19.6%
- 3–08.7%
- 1–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
57%Possession50%
44%Territory29%
30%From set plays15%
0.08Chance quality0.07
3.4%Directness7.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Saint-Étienne, 2 for Sochaux. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.