Ligue 2 · Matchweek 23
Rodez
ROD
Boulogne
BOU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rodez39%
Draw28%
Boulogne32%
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.22
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–010.7%
- 0–19.4%
- 0–08.8%
- 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Boulogne will have the ball; Rodez will not mind.
31%Possession41%
33%Territory37%
12%From set plays31%
0.12Chance quality0.10
10.5%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rodez, 3 for Boulogne. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.