Ligue 2 · Matchweek 23
Red Star
RED
Guingamp
GUI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Red Star38%
Draw30%
Guingamp32%
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.11
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.3%
- 1–012.1%
- 0–011.1%
- 0–110.8%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
53%Possession45%
37%Territory41%
17%From set plays4%
0.06Chance quality0.12
5.2%Directness7.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Red Star, 3 for Guingamp. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Red Star
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.