Ligue 2 · Matchweek 23
Montpellier
MON
Laval
LAV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Montpellier48%
Draw26%
Laval26%
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.17
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–010.4%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–07.8%
- 0–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Laval get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
61%Possession59%
30%Territory39%
7%From set plays46%
0.14Chance quality0.14
4.2%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Montpellier, 3 for Laval. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.