Ligue 2 · Matchweek 23
Metz
MET
Grenoble
GRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Metz50%
Draw24%
Grenoble26%
Expected goals
1.85 – 1.30
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–08.5%
- 2–07.2%
- 1–26.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Metz will have the ball; Grenoble will not mind.
58%Possession44%
39%Territory30%
20%From set plays44%
0.11Chance quality0.10
8.4%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Metz, 3 for Grenoble. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.