Ligue 2 · Matchweek 23
Dijon
DIJ
Nancy
NAC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dijon41%
Draw26%
Nancy33%
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.46
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–07.9%
- 1–27.7%
- 0–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
57%Possession53%
42%Territory37%
28%From set plays15%
0.15Chance quality0.10
5.8%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Dijon, 2 for Nancy. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Nancy
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.