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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 23

Clermont Foot

CLE

Dunkerque

DUN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Clermont Foot31%
Draw27%
Dunkerque42%

Expected goals

1.26 – 1.51

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.1%
  • 0–19.9%
  • 1–28.9%
  • 1–08.1%
  • 2–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Dunkerque get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

52%Possession56%
38%Territory31%
13%From set plays30%
0.11Chance quality0.12
5.4%Directness7.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Clermont Foot, 3 for Dunkerque. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Clermont Foot

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.