Ligue 2 · Matchweek 22
Sochaux
SOC
Dijon
DIJ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sochaux48%
Draw24%
Dijon28%
Expected goals
1.84 – 1.38
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–07.9%
- 1–26.8%
- 2–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
43%Possession47%
29%Territory31%
12%From set plays16%
0.11Chance quality0.15
6.1%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sochaux, 3 for Dijon. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sochaux
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.