Ligue 2 · Matchweek 22
Sochaux
SOC
Dijon
DIJ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sochaux29%
Draw24%
Dijon47%
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.90
Over 2.5
64%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.8%
- 1–29.1%
- 0–17.0%
- 2–16.9%
- 2–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession57%
29%Territory42%
15%From set plays28%
0.07Chance quality0.15
7.4%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Sochaux, 4 for Dijon. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.