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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 22

Reims

REI

Nantes

NAN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Reims55%
Draw22%
Nantes23%

Expected goals

2.08 – 1.31

Over 2.5

65%

Both to score

65%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 219.6%
  • 119.3%
  • 107.5%
  • 207.3%
  • 316.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nantes will have the ball; Reims will not mind.

46%Possession58%
29%Territory43%
21%From set plays26%
0.15Chance quality0.09
5.0%Directness5.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Reims, 3 for Nantes. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.