Ligue 2 · Matchweek 22
Reims
REI
Nantes
NAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Reims54%
Draw25%
Nantes21%
Expected goals
1.72 – 1.01
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.8%
- 1–111.4%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–09.4%
- 0–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession47%
23%Territory34%
21%From set plays31%
0.23Chance quality0.11
5.4%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Reims, 3 for Nantes. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 99 matches, not the full season.